2018/2019 Bowl Game Prediction Results
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Bowls correctly predicted by each ranking
listed in Kenneth Massey's last Pre-Bowl
College Football Ranking Comparison.
Each ranking is scored,
with one point for predicting each bowl winner,
except two points are given for predicting the winner of the
College Football Playoff National Championship.
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1 PPP 27.000 (26/39 i.e. 25 1)
2 ABC 25.000 (24/39 i.e. 23 1)
2 COL 25.000 (24/39 i.e. 23 1)
2 DES 25.000 (25/39 i.e. 25 0)
2 DWI 25.000 (24/39 i.e. 23 1)
2 FMG 25.000 (24/39 i.e. 23 1)
2 KEE 25.000 (25/39 i.e. 25 0)
2 RTH 25.000 (25/39 i.e. 25 0)
2 RTP 25.000 (24/39 i.e. 23 1)
2 SOR 25.000 (25/39 i.e. 25 0)
2 WEL 25.000 (24/39 i.e. 23 1)
12 AWS 24.000 (23/39 i.e. 22 1)
12 BSS 24.000 (24/39 i.e. 24 0)
12 CPI 24.000 (23/39 i.e. 22 1)
12 ENG 24.000 (23/39 i.e. 22 1)
12 HAT 24.000 (23/39 i.e. 22 1)
12 ISR 24.000 (23/39 i.e. 22 1)
12 JNG 24.000 (24/39 i.e. 24 0)
12 KLK 24.000 (24/39 i.e. 24 0)
12 NUT 24.000 (24/39 i.e. 24 0)
12 RBA 24.000 (24/39 i.e. 24 0)
12 RUD 24.000 (24/39 i.e. 24 0)
12 WOB 24.000 (24/39 i.e. 24 0)
12 WWP 24.000 (23/39 i.e. 22 1)
25 BCM 23.000 (23/39 i.e. 23 0)
25 DII 23.000 (23/39 i.e. 23 0)
25 DOL 23.000 (23/39 i.e. 23 0)
25 DP 23.000 (23/39 i.e. 23 0)
25 FPI 23.000 (23/39 i.e. 23 0)
25 KNT 23.000 (22/39 i.e. 21 1)
25 KRA 23.000 (23/39 i.e. 23 0)
25 LSD 23.000 (22/39 i.e. 21 1)
25 MCK 23.000 (23/39 i.e. 23 0)
25 PGH 23.000 (23/39 i.e. 23 0)
25 SEL 23.000 (23/39 i.e. 23 0)
25 TPR 23.000 (23/39 i.e. 23 0)
25 WIL 23.000 (23/39 i.e. 23 0)
38 AND 22.000 (22/39 i.e. 22 0)
38 ASH 22.000 (22/39 i.e. 22 0)
38 BIH 22.000 (22/39 i.e. 22 0)
38 BIL 22.000 (22/39 i.e. 22 0)
38 BMC 22.000 (22/39 i.e. 22 0)
38 BRN 22.000 (21/39 i.e. 20 1)
38 CSL 22.000 (21/39 i.e. 20 1)
38 DEZ 22.000 (22/39 i.e. 22 0)
38 DOK 22.000 (22/39 i.e. 22 0)
38 GBE 22.000 (21/39 i.e. 20 1)
38 HEN 22.000 (21/39 i.e. 20 1)
38 HKB 22.000 (22/39 i.e. 22 0)
38 MAS 22.000 (22/39 i.e. 22 0)
38 MGS 22.000 (21/39 i.e. 20 1)
38 MJS 22.000 (21/39 i.e. 20 1)
38 MRK 22.000 (21/39 i.e. 20 1)
38 RME 22.000 (22/39 i.e. 22 0)
38 RT 22.000 (21/39 i.e. 20 1)
38 RTB 22.000 (21/39 i.e. 20 1)
38 WOL 22.000 (22/39 i.e. 22 0)
58 ACU 21.000 (21/39 i.e. 21 0)
58 BWE 21.000 (21/39 i.e. 21 0)
58 CGV 21.000 (20/39 i.e. 19 1)
58 GLD 21.000 (21/39 i.e. 21 0)
58 HOW 21.000 (21/39 i.e. 21 0)
58 KEN 21.000 (20/39 i.e. 19 1)
58 LAW 21.000 (21/39 i.e. 21 0)
58 MOR 21.000 (21/39 i.e. 21 0)
58 MvG 21.000 (20/39 i.e. 19 1)
58 PAY 21.000 (21/39 i.e. 21 0)
58 PIR 21.000 (21/39 i.e. 21 0)
58 SMS 21.000 (21/39 i.e. 21 0)
58 TFG 21.000 (21/39 i.e. 21 0)
58 WMV 21.000 (21/39 i.e. 21 0)
72 ARG 20.000 (20/39 i.e. 20 0)
72 BBT 20.000 (20/39 i.e. 20 0)
72 DCI 20.000 (20/39 i.e. 20 0)
72 DUN 20.000 (20/39 i.e. 20 0)
72 FAS 20.000 (20/39 i.e. 20 0)
72 FEI 20.000 (20/39 i.e. 20 0)
72 HNL 20.000 (20/39 i.e. 20 0)
72 HUF 20.000 (20/39 i.e. 20 0)
72 KEL 20.000 (20/39 i.e. 20 0)
72 KPK 20.000 (20/39 i.e. 20 0)
72 LAB 20.000 (20/39 i.e. 20 0)
72 LOG 20.000 (20/39 i.e. 20 0)
72 PFZ 20.000 (20/39 i.e. 20 0)
72 RWP 20.000 (20/39 i.e. 20 0)
72 SAG 20.000 (20/39 i.e. 20 0)
87 BDF 19.000 (19/39 i.e. 19 0)
87 COF 19.000 (19/39 i.e. 19 0)
87 JJK 19.000 (19/39 i.e. 19 0)
87 MGN 19.000 (19/39 i.e. 19 0)
87 MTN 19.000 (19/39 i.e. 19 0)
87 Median 19.000 (19/39 i.e. 19 0)
87 PIG 19.000 (19/39 i.e. 19 0)
87 S&P 19.000 (19/39 i.e. 19 0)
87 SP 19.000 (19/39 i.e. 19 0)
87 TRP 19.000 (19/39 i.e. 19 0)
87 WLK 19.000 (19/39 i.e. 19 0)
87 YCM 19.000 (19/39 i.e. 19 0)
99 Average 18.000 (18/39 i.e. 18 0)
99 CTW 18.000 (18/39 i.e. 18 0)
99 JTR 18.000 (18/39 i.e. 18 0)
99 LAZ 18.000 (18/39 i.e. 18 0)
99 MAR 18.000 (18/39 i.e. 18 0)
99 SGR 18.000 (18/39 i.e. 18 0)
99 WLS 18.000 (18/39 i.e. 18 0)
99 YAG 18.000 (18/39 i.e. 18 0)
107 BAS 17.000 (17/39 i.e. 17 0)
107 SFX 17.000 (17/39 i.e. 17 0)
109 USA 8.000 (8/39 i.e. 8 0)
110 RDT 7.000 (7/39 i.e. 7 0)
111 AP 6.000 (6/39 i.e. 6 0)
111 CFP 6.000 (6/39 i.e. 6 0)
Scoring:
Round 1: 1 point.
Round 2: 2 points.
'Average' is Massey comparison Mean ranking.
'Median' is Massey comparison Median ranking.
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But how do the top 25 of the rankings stack up?
Here is a bowl prediction count based solely on the
top 25 teams in each ranking
(see explanation below).
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1 ISR 24.372 (23.372/39 i.e. 22.372 1)
2 COL 24.363 (23.363/39 i.e. 22.363 1)
3 LSD 24.327 (23.327/39 i.e. 22.327 1)
4 CPI 24.278 (23.278/39 i.e. 22.278 1)
4 KNT 24.278 (23.278/39 i.e. 22.278 1)
4 WEL 24.278 (23.278/39 i.e. 22.278 1)
7 HAT 24.260 (23.260/39 i.e. 22.260 1)
7 PPP 24.260 (23.260/39 i.e. 22.260 1)
9 ABC 24.233 (23.233/39 i.e. 22.233 1)
10 FMG 24.170 (23.170/39 i.e. 22.170 1)
10 WWP 24.170 (23.170/39 i.e. 22.170 1)
12 RTH 24.133 (24.133/39 i.e. 24.133 0)
13 RTB 24.027 (23.027/39 i.e. 22.027 1)
14 CSL 23.570 (22.570/39 i.e. 21.570 1)
15 YAG 23.436 (23.436/39 i.e. 23.436 0)
16 MRK 23.415 (22.415/39 i.e. 21.415 1)
17 MJS 23.367 (22.367/39 i.e. 21.367 1)
18 KEN 23.283 (22.283/39 i.e. 21.283 1)
19 GBE 23.278 (22.278/39 i.e. 21.278 1)
20 MvG 23.246 (22.246/39 i.e. 21.246 1)
21 AWS 23.184 (22.184/39 i.e. 21.184 1)
22 ENG 23.170 (22.170/39 i.e. 21.170 1)
22 MAS 23.170 (23.170/39 i.e. 23.170 0)
22 RUD 23.170 (23.170/39 i.e. 23.170 0)
22 SEL 23.170 (23.170/39 i.e. 23.170 0)
26 MGS 22.390 (21.390/39 i.e. 20.390 1)
27 KRA 22.301 (22.301/39 i.e. 22.301 0)
28 WOL 22.288 (22.288/39 i.e. 22.288 0)
29 WOB 22.287 (22.287/39 i.e. 22.287 0)
30 RTP 22.265 (21.265/39 i.e. 20.265 1)
31 DWI 22.246 (21.246/39 i.e. 20.246 1)
32 PGH 22.233 (22.233/39 i.e. 22.233 0)
33 HOW 22.229 (22.229/39 i.e. 22.229 0)
34 KEE 22.211 (22.211/39 i.e. 22.211 0)
35 LAB 22.202 (22.202/39 i.e. 22.202 0)
35 RT 22.202 (21.202/39 i.e. 20.202 1)
37 NUT 22.179 (22.179/39 i.e. 22.179 0)
38 BIH 22.174 (22.174/39 i.e. 22.174 0)
38 JNG 22.174 (22.174/39 i.e. 22.174 0)
40 ASH 22.170 (22.170/39 i.e. 22.170 0)
40 DII 22.170 (22.170/39 i.e. 22.170 0)
40 WIL 22.170 (22.170/39 i.e. 22.170 0)
43 TPR 22.165 (22.165/39 i.e. 22.165 0)
44 KLK 22.156 (22.156/39 i.e. 22.156 0)
44 SOR 22.156 (22.156/39 i.e. 22.156 0)
46 BCM 22.119 (22.119/39 i.e. 22.119 0)
46 BWE 22.119 (22.119/39 i.e. 22.119 0)
48 RBA 21.991 (21.991/39 i.e. 21.991 0)
49 DEZ 21.655 (21.655/39 i.e. 21.655 0)
50 DCI 21.642 (21.642/39 i.e. 21.642 0)
51 Allsame 21.507 (21.265/39 i.e. 21.023 0.242)
52 JJK 21.305 (21.305/39 i.e. 21.305 0)
52 KEL 21.305 (21.305/39 i.e. 21.305 0)
54 BSS 21.254 (21.254/39 i.e. 21.254 0)
55 FAS 21.242 (21.242/39 i.e. 21.242 0)
56 HEN 21.242 (20.242/39 i.e. 19.242 1)
57 ARG 21.216 (21.216/39 i.e. 21.216 0)
58 BBT 21.206 (21.206/39 i.e. 21.206 0)
58 PAY 21.206 (21.206/39 i.e. 21.206 0)
60 DES 21.187 (21.187/39 i.e. 21.187 0)
61 WMV 21.174 (21.174/39 i.e. 21.174 0)
62 LAW 21.170 (21.170/39 i.e. 21.170 0)
63 DP 21.170 (21.170/39 i.e. 21.170 0)
64 CGV 21.165 (20.165/39 i.e. 19.165 1)
65 DOL 21.156 (21.156/39 i.e. 21.156 0)
65 HNL 21.156 (21.156/39 i.e. 21.156 0)
67 BMC 21.151 (21.151/39 i.e. 21.151 0)
68 HKB 21.147 (21.147/39 i.e. 21.147 0)
69 BRN 21.028 (20.028/39 i.e. 19.028 1)
70 FPI 21.014 (21.014/39 i.e. 21.014 0)
70 SAG 21.014 (21.014/39 i.e. 21.014 0)
70 SP 21.014 (21.014/39 i.e. 21.014 0)
73 PIR 20.996 (20.996/39 i.e. 20.996 0)
74 DOK 20.977 (20.977/39 i.e. 20.977 0)
75 PIG 20.468 (20.468/39 i.e. 20.468 0)
76 MGN 20.305 (20.305/39 i.e. 20.305 0)
77 GLD 20.283 (20.283/39 i.e. 20.283 0)
78 BIL 20.274 (20.274/39 i.e. 20.274 0)
79 USA 20.250 (20.250/39 i.e. 20.250 0)
80 COF 20.229 (20.229/39 i.e. 20.229 0)
81 RDT 20.223 (20.223/39 i.e. 20.223 0)
82 HUF 20.220 (20.220/39 i.e. 20.220 0)
82 LOG 20.220 (20.220/39 i.e. 20.220 0)
84 JTR 20.202 (20.202/39 i.e. 20.202 0)
84 SGR 20.202 (20.202/39 i.e. 20.202 0)
86 AND 20.174 (20.174/39 i.e. 20.174 0)
87 ACU 20.170 (20.170/39 i.e. 20.170 0)
87 Average 20.170 (20.170/39 i.e. 20.170 0)
87 KPK 20.170 (20.170/39 i.e. 20.170 0)
87 LAZ 20.170 (20.170/39 i.e. 20.170 0)
87 MTN 20.170 (20.170/39 i.e. 20.170 0)
87 Median 20.170 (20.170/39 i.e. 20.170 0)
87 RWP 20.170 (20.170/39 i.e. 20.170 0)
87 SMS 20.170 (20.170/39 i.e. 20.170 0)
95 MCK 20.165 (20.165/39 i.e. 20.165 0)
96 WLK 20.156 (20.156/39 i.e. 20.156 0)
97 AP 20.147 (20.147/39 i.e. 20.147 0)
97 CFP 20.147 (20.147/39 i.e. 20.147 0)
99 MOR 20.013 (20.013/39 i.e. 20.013 0)
100 BAS 20.009 (20.009/39 i.e. 20.009 0)
101 TRP 19.995 (19.995/39 i.e. 19.995 0)
102 TFG 19.862 (19.862/39 i.e. 19.862 0)
103 RME 19.842 (19.842/39 i.e. 19.842 0)
104 S&P 19.523 (19.523/39 i.e. 19.523 0)
105 YCM 19.229 (19.229/39 i.e. 19.229 0)
106 MAR 19.206 (19.206/39 i.e. 19.206 0)
107 WLS 19.193 (19.193/39 i.e. 19.193 0)
108 DUN 19.170 (19.170/39 i.e. 19.170 0)
109 CTW 19.142 (19.142/39 i.e. 19.142 0)
110 PFZ 19.018 (19.018/39 i.e. 19.018 0)
111 SFX 19.014 (19.014/39 i.e. 19.014 0)
112 BDF 18.996 (18.996/39 i.e. 18.996 0)
113 FEI 18.612 (18.612/39 i.e. 18.612 0)
Scoring:
Round 1: 1 point.
Round 2: 2 points.
Top 25 of rankings only.
Games with both teams beyond 25 or teams of same rank
given a calculated partial credit.
'Average' is Massey comparison Mean ranking.
'Median' is Massey comparison Median ranking.
'Allsame' is ranking with all teams ranked equally.
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Explanation of the "top 25" bowl scoring
(This scoring is only reasonable for comparing with a ranking
that only ranks the top 25, i.e., AP, USA, CFP, and RDT.)
If at least one team in the game is ranked in the ranking's top 25,
it is clear which team the ranking chooses to win.
For all the games which a ranking's top 25 does not call in such manner,
a "most likely number of correct choices" is used,
based upon how many full rankings ranked the winner higher
for each of those games.
Wobus Sports: www.vaporia.com/sports