2019/2020 Bowl Game Prediction Results
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Bowls correctly predicted by each ranking
listed in Kenneth Massey's last Pre-Bowl
College Football Ranking Comparison.
Each ranking is scored,
with one point for predicting each bowl winner,
except two points are given for predicting the winner of the
College Football Playoff National Championship.
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1 PIG 32.000 (32/40 i.e. 32 0)
2 BDF 31.000 (30/40 i.e. 29 1)
3 BRN 30.000 (30/40 i.e. 30 0)
3 MOR 30.000 (30/40 i.e. 30 0)
5 DP 29.000 (29/40 i.e. 29 0)
5 SMS 29.000 (29/40 i.e. 29 0)
7 BWE 28.000 (28/40 i.e. 28 0)
7 COF 28.000 (28/40 i.e. 28 0)
7 DCI 28.000 (28/40 i.e. 28 0)
7 HNL 28.000 (28/40 i.e. 28 0)
7 KAM 28.000 (28/40 i.e. 28 0)
7 KPK 28.000 (28/40 i.e. 28 0)
7 RTP 28.000 (28/40 i.e. 28 0)
7 SAG 28.000 (28/40 i.e. 28 0)
7 SGR 28.000 (28/40 i.e. 28 0)
16 BEG 27.000 (27/40 i.e. 27 0)
16 CPI 27.000 (26/40 i.e. 25 1)
16 CQI 27.000 (26/40 i.e. 25 1)
16 DII 27.000 (27/40 i.e. 27 0)
16 FPI 27.000 (27/40 i.e. 27 0)
16 HKB 27.000 (27/40 i.e. 27 0)
16 KLK 27.000 (27/40 i.e. 27 0)
16 NUT 27.000 (27/40 i.e. 27 0)
16 RT 27.000 (27/40 i.e. 27 0)
16 RWP 27.000 (27/40 i.e. 27 0)
16 SFX 27.000 (27/40 i.e. 27 0)
16 STH 27.000 (27/40 i.e. 27 0)
16 TPR 27.000 (27/40 i.e. 27 0)
16 WLK 27.000 (27/40 i.e. 27 0)
16 WLS 27.000 (27/40 i.e. 27 0)
31 ARG 26.000 (26/40 i.e. 26 0)
31 BCM 26.000 (26/40 i.e. 26 0)
31 BIL 26.000 (25/40 i.e. 24 1)
31 BMC 26.000 (26/40 i.e. 26 0)
31 CGV 26.000 (26/40 i.e. 26 0)
31 DOK 26.000 (26/40 i.e. 26 0)
31 DUN 26.000 (26/40 i.e. 26 0)
31 FAS 26.000 (26/40 i.e. 26 0)
31 HEN 26.000 (26/40 i.e. 26 0)
31 HOW 26.000 (26/40 i.e. 26 0)
31 JTR 26.000 (26/40 i.e. 26 0)
31 KEE 26.000 (26/40 i.e. 26 0)
31 KNT 26.000 (25/40 i.e. 24 1)
31 LAW 26.000 (26/40 i.e. 26 0)
31 LOG 26.000 (26/40 i.e. 26 0)
31 MAS 26.000 (26/40 i.e. 26 0)
31 MGS 26.000 (26/40 i.e. 26 0)
31 PAY 26.000 (26/40 i.e. 26 0)
31 PFZ 26.000 (26/40 i.e. 26 0)
31 PGH 26.000 (26/40 i.e. 26 0)
31 PIR 26.000 (26/40 i.e. 26 0)
31 SEL 26.000 (26/40 i.e. 26 0)
31 TRP 26.000 (26/40 i.e. 26 0)
54 ASH 25.000 (25/40 i.e. 25 0)
54 BAS 25.000 (25/40 i.e. 25 0)
54 BBT 25.000 (25/40 i.e. 25 0)
54 BSS 25.000 (24/40 i.e. 23 1)
54 DES 25.000 (24/40 i.e. 23 1)
54 FEI 25.000 (25/40 i.e. 25 0)
54 JNG 25.000 (25/40 i.e. 25 0)
54 LAZ 25.000 (25/40 i.e. 25 0)
54 MAU 25.000 (25/40 i.e. 25 0)
54 MGN 25.000 (25/40 i.e. 25 0)
54 MTN 25.000 (25/40 i.e. 25 0)
54 MvG 25.000 (25/40 i.e. 25 0)
54 RTB 25.000 (25/40 i.e. 25 0)
54 RTH 25.000 (25/40 i.e. 25 0)
54 WMV 25.000 (25/40 i.e. 25 0)
69 CSL 24.000 (24/40 i.e. 24 0)
69 CTW 24.000 (24/40 i.e. 24 0)
69 DWI 24.000 (24/40 i.e. 24 0)
69 ISR 24.000 (24/40 i.e. 24 0)
69 KEL 24.000 (24/40 i.e. 24 0)
69 KEN 24.000 (24/40 i.e. 24 0)
69 LAB 24.000 (24/40 i.e. 24 0)
69 MJS 24.000 (24/40 i.e. 24 0)
69 Median 24.000 (24/40 i.e. 24 0)
69 OSC 24.000 (24/40 i.e. 24 0)
69 REW 24.000 (24/40 i.e. 24 0)
69 SOR 24.000 (24/40 i.e. 24 0)
69 WEL 24.000 (24/40 i.e. 24 0)
69 WOL 24.000 (23/40 i.e. 22 1)
83 Average 23.000 (23/40 i.e. 23 0)
83 CHM 23.000 (23/40 i.e. 23 0)
83 COL 23.000 (23/40 i.e. 23 0)
83 DOL 23.000 (23/40 i.e. 23 0)
83 ENG 23.000 (23/40 i.e. 23 0)
83 JNK 23.000 (23/40 i.e. 23 0)
83 LSD 23.000 (23/40 i.e. 23 0)
83 MCK 23.000 (23/40 i.e. 23 0)
83 MDS 23.000 (23/40 i.e. 23 0)
83 PPP 23.000 (23/40 i.e. 23 0)
83 RUD 23.000 (23/40 i.e. 23 0)
83 WOB 23.000 (23/40 i.e. 23 0)
95 ABC 22.000 (22/40 i.e. 22 0)
95 AND 22.000 (22/40 i.e. 22 0)
95 AWS 22.000 (22/40 i.e. 22 0)
95 GBE 22.000 (22/40 i.e. 22 0)
95 HAT 22.000 (22/40 i.e. 22 0)
95 JJK 22.000 (22/40 i.e. 22 0)
101 BIH 21.000 (21/40 i.e. 21 0)
101 KRA 21.000 (21/40 i.e. 21 0)
101 MRK 21.000 (21/40 i.e. 21 0)
101 VRN 21.000 (21/40 i.e. 21 0)
101 WIL 21.000 (21/40 i.e. 21 0)
106 AP 14.000 (13/40 i.e. 12 1)
106 USA 14.000 (13/40 i.e. 12 1)
108 CFP 13.000 (12/40 i.e. 11 1)
Scoring:
Round 1: 1 point.
Round 2: 2 points.
'Average' is Massey comparison Mean ranking.
'Median' is Massey comparison Median ranking.
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But how do the top 25 of the rankings stack up?
Here is a bowl prediction count based solely on the
top 25 teams in each ranking
(see explanation below).
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1 NUT 28.900 (28.900/40 i.e. 28.900 0)
2 SFX 28.784 (28.784/40 i.e. 28.784 0)
3 BDF 28.490 (27.490/40 i.e. 26.490 1)
4 PIG 28.486 (28.486/40 i.e. 28.486 0)
5 USA 28.288 (27.288/40 i.e. 26.288 1)
6 BIL 28.095 (27.095/40 i.e. 26.095 1)
6 CQI 28.095 (27.095/40 i.e. 26.095 1)
8 KNT 28.095 (27.095/40 i.e. 26.095 1)
9 DES 28.030 (27.030/40 i.e. 26.030 1)
10 BSS 28.025 (27.025/40 i.e. 26.025 1)
11 AP 27.959 (26.959/40 i.e. 25.959 1)
12 CFP 27.890 (26.890/40 i.e. 25.890 1)
13 BWE 27.697 (27.697/40 i.e. 27.697 0)
14 FPI 27.679 (27.679/40 i.e. 27.679 0)
15 BRN 27.486 (27.486/40 i.e. 27.486 0)
16 HNL 27.284 (27.284/40 i.e. 27.284 0)
17 CPI 27.095 (26.095/40 i.e. 25.095 1)
18 MGS 27.067 (27.067/40 i.e. 27.067 0)
19 MOR 27.025 (27.025/40 i.e. 27.025 0)
20 CGV 26.898 (26.898/40 i.e. 26.898 0)
21 DUN 26.890 (26.890/40 i.e. 26.890 0)
21 KAM 26.890 (26.890/40 i.e. 26.890 0)
23 TPR 26.885 (26.885/40 i.e. 26.885 0)
24 DCI 26.885 (26.885/40 i.e. 26.885 0)
24 MAS 26.885 (26.885/40 i.e. 26.885 0)
26 CTW 26.688 (26.688/40 i.e. 26.688 0)
27 DOK 26.684 (26.684/40 i.e. 26.684 0)
27 TRP 26.684 (26.684/40 i.e. 26.684 0)
29 Allsame 26.570 (25.871/40 i.e. 25.173 0.699)
30 PIR 26.490 (26.490/40 i.e. 26.490 0)
31 KPK 26.293 (26.293/40 i.e. 26.293 0)
32 RTP 26.288 (26.288/40 i.e. 26.288 0)
33 BMC 26.219 (26.219/40 i.e. 26.219 0)
33 DP 26.219 (26.219/40 i.e. 26.219 0)
33 WLK 26.219 (26.219/40 i.e. 26.219 0)
36 SMS 26.214 (26.214/40 i.e. 26.214 0)
37 COF 26.095 (26.095/40 i.e. 26.095 0)
37 MvG 26.095 (26.095/40 i.e. 26.095 0)
39 BEG 26.067 (26.067/40 i.e. 26.067 0)
40 LOG 26.030 (26.030/40 i.e. 26.030 0)
41 STH 26.025 (26.025/40 i.e. 26.025 0)
42 HEN 26.025 (26.025/40 i.e. 26.025 0)
43 SEL 25.959 (25.959/40 i.e. 25.959 0)
44 RWP 25.955 (25.955/40 i.e. 25.955 0)
45 BCM 25.885 (25.885/40 i.e. 25.885 0)
46 SAG 25.881 (25.881/40 i.e. 25.881 0)
47 RTB 25.761 (25.761/40 i.e. 25.761 0)
48 BAS 25.749 (25.749/40 i.e. 25.749 0)
49 RTH 25.697 (25.697/40 i.e. 25.697 0)
50 DII 25.684 (25.684/40 i.e. 25.684 0)
51 ARG 25.298 (25.298/40 i.e. 25.298 0)
52 SGR 25.293 (25.293/40 i.e. 25.293 0)
53 Average 25.293 (25.293/40 i.e. 25.293 0)
54 FEI 25.288 (25.288/40 i.e. 25.288 0)
55 PFZ 25.288 (25.288/40 i.e. 25.288 0)
56 KLK 25.288 (25.288/40 i.e. 25.288 0)
57 WLS 25.284 (25.284/40 i.e. 25.284 0)
58 LAW 25.219 (25.219/40 i.e. 25.219 0)
59 HKB 25.119 (25.119/40 i.e. 25.119 0)
60 BBT 25.100 (25.100/40 i.e. 25.100 0)
60 MAU 25.100 (25.100/40 i.e. 25.100 0)
60 MGN 25.100 (25.100/40 i.e. 25.100 0)
63 RT 25.099 (25.099/40 i.e. 25.099 0)
64 FAS 25.099 (25.099/40 i.e. 25.099 0)
64 JTR 25.099 (25.099/40 i.e. 25.099 0)
64 KEN 25.099 (25.099/40 i.e. 25.099 0)
64 PAY 25.099 (25.099/40 i.e. 25.099 0)
64 REW 25.099 (25.099/40 i.e. 25.099 0)
69 ASH 25.095 (25.095/40 i.e. 25.095 0)
69 Median 25.095 (25.095/40 i.e. 25.095 0)
69 WMV 25.095 (25.095/40 i.e. 25.095 0)
72 CSL 25.095 (25.095/40 i.e. 25.095 0)
72 LAZ 25.095 (25.095/40 i.e. 25.095 0)
72 WOL 25.095 (24.095/40 i.e. 23.095 1)
75 LAB 25.030 (25.030/40 i.e. 25.030 0)
76 SOR 25.025 (25.025/40 i.e. 25.025 0)
77 HOW 24.893 (24.893/40 i.e. 24.893 0)
78 DOL 24.697 (24.697/40 i.e. 24.697 0)
78 KEE 24.697 (24.697/40 i.e. 24.697 0)
78 MTN 24.697 (24.697/40 i.e. 24.697 0)
78 OSC 24.697 (24.697/40 i.e. 24.697 0)
82 MCK 24.692 (24.692/40 i.e. 24.692 0)
83 RUD 24.692 (24.692/40 i.e. 24.692 0)
84 DWI 24.647 (24.647/40 i.e. 24.647 0)
85 JNG 24.219 (24.219/40 i.e. 24.219 0)
86 HAT 24.095 (24.095/40 i.e. 24.095 0)
86 KEL 24.095 (24.095/40 i.e. 24.095 0)
88 AND 24.095 (24.095/40 i.e. 24.095 0)
88 ISR 24.095 (24.095/40 i.e. 24.095 0)
88 MJS 24.095 (24.095/40 i.e. 24.095 0)
88 PGH 24.095 (24.095/40 i.e. 24.095 0)
88 PPP 24.095 (24.095/40 i.e. 24.095 0)
93 MDS 24.072 (24.072/40 i.e. 24.072 0)
94 CHM 24.021 (24.021/40 i.e. 24.021 0)
95 ABC 23.095 (23.095/40 i.e. 23.095 0)
95 AWS 23.095 (23.095/40 i.e. 23.095 0)
95 BIH 23.095 (23.095/40 i.e. 23.095 0)
95 COL 23.095 (23.095/40 i.e. 23.095 0)
95 GBE 23.095 (23.095/40 i.e. 23.095 0)
95 JJK 23.095 (23.095/40 i.e. 23.095 0)
95 JNK 23.095 (23.095/40 i.e. 23.095 0)
95 KRA 23.095 (23.095/40 i.e. 23.095 0)
95 LSD 23.095 (23.095/40 i.e. 23.095 0)
95 MRK 23.095 (23.095/40 i.e. 23.095 0)
95 VRN 23.095 (23.095/40 i.e. 23.095 0)
95 WEL 23.095 (23.095/40 i.e. 23.095 0)
95 WIL 23.095 (23.095/40 i.e. 23.095 0)
95 WOB 23.095 (23.095/40 i.e. 23.095 0)
109 ENG 23.025 (23.025/40 i.e. 23.025 0)
Scoring:
Round 1: 1 point.
Round 2: 2 points.
Top 25 of rankings only.
Games with both teams beyond 25 or teams of same rank
given a calculated partial credit.
'Average' is Massey comparison Mean ranking.
'Median' is Massey comparison Median ranking.
'Allsame' is ranking with all teams ranked equally.
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Explanation of the "top 25" bowl scoring
(This scoring is only reasonable for comparing with a ranking
that only ranks the top 25, i.e., AP, USA, and CFP.)
If at least one team in the game is ranked in the ranking's top 25,
it is clear which team the ranking chooses to win.
For all the games which a ranking's top 25 does not call in such manner,
a "most likely number of correct choices" is used,
based upon how many full rankings ranked the winner higher
for each of those games.
Wobus Sports: www.vaporia.com/sports