2021/2022 Bowl Game Prediction Results

Bowls correctly predicted by each ranking listed in Kenneth Massey's last Pre-Bowl College Football Ranking Comparison. Each ranking is scored, with one point for predicting each bowl winner, except two points are given for predicting the winner of the College Football Playoff National Championship.

1   ENG       29.000  (28/38     i.e. 27 1)
1   LSD       29.000  (29/38     i.e. 29 0)
1   MvG       29.000  (29/38     i.e. 29 0)
1   WMV       29.000  (28/38     i.e. 27 1)
5   COF       28.000  (27/38     i.e. 26 1)
5   FAS       28.000  (27/38     i.e. 26 1)
5   JNK       28.000  (27/38     i.e. 26 1)
5   RTH       28.000  (27/38     i.e. 26 1)
5   WOB       28.000  (28/38     i.e. 28 0)
10  BIH       27.000  (27/38     i.e. 27 0)
10  HAT       27.000  (27/38     i.e. 27 0)
10  HOW       27.000  (26/38     i.e. 25 1)
10  KNT       27.000  (27/38     i.e. 27 0)
10  PAY       27.000  (26/38     i.e. 25 1)
10  PFZ       27.000  (26/38     i.e. 25 1)
10  RTP       27.000  (27/38     i.e. 27 0)
17  AND       26.000  (26/38     i.e. 26 0)
17  Average   26.000  (25/38     i.e. 24 1)
17  BIL       26.000  (26/38     i.e. 26 0)
17  COL       26.000  (26/38     i.e. 26 0)
17  CQI       26.000  (25/38     i.e. 24 1)
17  DES       26.000  (26/38     i.e. 26 0)
17  JJK       26.000  (26/38     i.e. 26 0)
17  LAB       26.000  (25/38     i.e. 24 1)
17  MJS       26.000  (26/38     i.e. 26 0)
17  MRK       26.000  (26/38     i.e. 26 0)
17  OSC       26.000  (26/38     i.e. 26 0)
17  PGH       26.000  (26/38     i.e. 26 0)
17  PPP       26.000  (26/38     i.e. 26 0)
17  RT        26.000  (25/38     i.e. 24 1)
17  RWP       26.000  (25/38     i.e. 24 1)
17  TSS       26.000  (26/38     i.e. 26 0)
17  VRN       26.000  (26/38     i.e. 26 0)
17  WEL       26.000  (26/38     i.e. 26 0)
17  WWP       26.000  (26/38     i.e. 26 0)
36  BSS       25.000  (25/38     i.e. 25 0)
36  CHM       25.000  (25/38     i.e. 25 0)
36  DOL       25.000  (25/38     i.e. 25 0)
36  ESR       25.000  (25/38     i.e. 25 0)
36  FMG       25.000  (25/38     i.e. 25 0)
36  GLD       25.000  (25/38     i.e. 25 0)
36  ISR       25.000  (25/38     i.e. 25 0)
36  KRA       25.000  (25/38     i.e. 25 0)
36  LAZ       25.000  (24/38     i.e. 23 1)
36  STH       25.000  (24/38     i.e. 23 1)
36  WOL       25.000  (25/38     i.e. 25 0)
47  ARG       24.000  (23/38     i.e. 22 1)
47  BEG       24.000  (23/38     i.e. 22 1)
47  HKB       24.000  (23/38     i.e. 22 1)
47  HNL       24.000  (23/38     i.e. 22 1)
47  KLK       24.000  (23/38     i.e. 22 1)
47  MAU       24.000  (23/38     i.e. 22 1)
47  MGS       24.000  (23/38     i.e. 22 1)
47  Median    24.000  (24/38     i.e. 24 0)
47  REW       24.000  (24/38     i.e. 24 0)
47  RME       24.000  (24/38     i.e. 24 0)
47  SOR       24.000  (24/38     i.e. 24 0)
58  CGV       23.000  (23/38     i.e. 23 0)
58  DII       23.000  (23/38     i.e. 23 0)
58  HEN       23.000  (22/38     i.e. 21 1)
58  JTR       23.000  (23/38     i.e. 23 0)
58  KAM       23.000  (22/38     i.e. 21 1)
58  KPK       23.000  (23/38     i.e. 23 0)
58  LMC       23.000  (22/38     i.e. 21 1)
58  SMS       23.000  (22/38     i.e. 21 1)
58  WLK       23.000  (22/38     i.e. 21 1)
67  BBT       22.000  (21/38     i.e. 20 1)
67  BWE       22.000  (21/38     i.e. 20 1)
67  KEE       22.000  (22/38     i.e. 22 0)
67  TPR       22.000  (21/38     i.e. 20 1)
71  BOG       21.000  (20/38     i.e. 19 1)
71  FEI       21.000  (20/38     i.e. 19 1)
71  GBR       21.000  (21/38     i.e. 21 0)
71  JNG       21.000  (21/38     i.e. 21 0)
71  LOG       21.000  (20/38     i.e. 19 1)
71  WLS       21.000  (21/38     i.e. 21 0)
77  BAS       20.000  (19/38     i.e. 18 1)
77  KFD       20.000  (19/38     i.e. 18 1)
77  MDS       20.000  (20/38     i.e. 20 0)
77  PIR       20.000  (19/38     i.e. 18 1)
77  TRP       20.000  (19/38     i.e. 18 1)
82  BRN       19.000  (19/38     i.e. 19 0)
82  DWI       19.000  (19/38     i.e. 19 0)
82  FPI       19.000  (18/38     i.e. 17 1)
82  MAS       19.000  (19/38     i.e. 19 0)
82  MOR       19.000  (18/38     i.e. 17 1)
82  SFX       19.000  (19/38     i.e. 19 0)
88  DCI       18.000  (18/38     i.e. 18 0)
88  DOK       18.000  (18/38     i.e. 18 0)
88  DUN       18.000  (18/38     i.e. 18 0)
88  SAG       18.000  (18/38     i.e. 18 0)
92  AP        10.000  (10/38     i.e. 10 0)
92  CFP       10.000  (10/38     i.e. 10 0)
92  USA       10.000  (10/38     i.e. 10 0)
95  RDT        9.000  (9/38      i.e. 9 0)
Scoring:
Round 1: 1 point.
Round 2: 2 points.
'Average' is Massey comparison Mean ranking.
'Median' is Massey comparison Median ranking.

But how do the top 25 of the rankings stack up? Here is a bowl prediction count based solely on the top 25 teams in each ranking (see explanation below).

1   JNK       27.474  (26.474/38 i.e. 25.474 1)
2   PFZ       27.334  (26.334/38 i.e. 25.334 1)
3   ENG       26.897  (25.897/38 i.e. 24.897 1)
4   RTH       26.870  (25.870/38 i.e. 24.870 1)
4   WMV       26.870  (25.870/38 i.e. 24.870 1)
6   PAY       26.761  (25.761/38 i.e. 24.761 1)
7   OSC       26.469  (26.469/38 i.e. 26.469 0)
8   COF       26.459  (25.459/38 i.e. 24.459 1)
9   MvG       26.349  (26.349/38 i.e. 26.349 0)
10  LAB       26.318  (25.318/38 i.e. 24.318 1)
11  KLK       25.903  (24.903/38 i.e. 23.903 1)
12  BEG       25.897  (24.897/38 i.e. 23.897 1)
13  HKB       25.870  (24.870/38 i.e. 23.870 1)
14  CQI       25.761  (24.761/38 i.e. 23.761 1)
14  FAS       25.761  (24.761/38 i.e. 23.761 1)
16  TSS       25.636  (25.636/38 i.e. 25.636 0)
17  WOB       25.636  (25.636/38 i.e. 25.636 0)
18  LSD       25.593  (25.593/38 i.e. 25.593 0)
19  KNT       25.535  (25.535/38 i.e. 25.535 0)
20  PGH       25.474  (25.474/38 i.e. 25.474 0)
21  HOW       25.129  (24.129/38 i.e. 23.129 1)
22  RTP       25.047  (25.047/38 i.e. 25.047 0)
23  RWP       24.903  (23.903/38 i.e. 22.903 1)
24  STH       24.897  (23.897/38 i.e. 22.897 1)
25  HEN       24.886  (23.886/38 i.e. 22.886 1)
26  MAU       24.876  (23.876/38 i.e. 22.876 1)
27  Average   24.870  (23.870/38 i.e. 22.870 1)
28  LOG       24.797  (23.797/38 i.e. 22.797 1)
29  BIL       24.767  (24.767/38 i.e. 24.767 0)
30  LMC       24.750  (23.750/38 i.e. 22.750 1)
31  Median    24.641  (24.332/38 i.e. 24.023 0.309)
32  CHM       24.532  (24.532/38 i.e. 24.532 0)
33  BIH       24.474  (24.474/38 i.e. 24.474 0)
33  HAT       24.474  (24.474/38 i.e. 24.474 0)
33  ISR       24.474  (24.474/38 i.e. 24.474 0)
33  LAZ       24.474  (23.474/38 i.e. 22.474 1)
33  PPP       24.474  (24.474/38 i.e. 24.474 0)
38  DES       24.469  (24.469/38 i.e. 24.469 0)
39  FMG       24.459  (24.459/38 i.e. 24.459 0)
40  RT        24.421  (23.421/38 i.e. 22.421 1)
41  WWP       24.349  (24.349/38 i.e. 24.349 0)
42  TPR       24.026  (23.026/38 i.e. 22.026 1)
43  BOG       23.903  (22.903/38 i.e. 21.903 1)
43  HNL       23.903  (22.903/38 i.e. 21.903 1)
43  WLK       23.903  (22.903/38 i.e. 21.903 1)
46  SMS       23.897  (22.897/38 i.e. 21.897 1)
47  SOR       23.881  (23.881/38 i.e. 23.881 0)
48  ARG       23.761  (22.761/38 i.e. 21.761 1)
49  KRA       23.761  (23.761/38 i.e. 23.761 0)
50  Allsame   23.731  (23.422/38 i.e. 23.113 0.309)
51  RME       23.636  (23.636/38 i.e. 23.636 0)
52  AP        23.630  (23.630/38 i.e. 23.630 0)
52  BSS       23.630  (23.630/38 i.e. 23.630 0)
52  CFP       23.630  (23.630/38 i.e. 23.630 0)
52  USA       23.630  (23.630/38 i.e. 23.630 0)
56  WEL       23.598  (23.598/38 i.e. 23.598 0)
57  MRK       23.477  (23.477/38 i.e. 23.477 0)
58  DOL       23.474  (23.474/38 i.e. 23.474 0)
59  VRN       23.349  (23.349/38 i.e. 23.349 0)
60  COL       23.292  (23.292/38 i.e. 23.292 0)
61  REW       23.292  (23.292/38 i.e. 23.292 0)
62  KAM       23.184  (22.184/38 i.e. 21.184 1)
63  JNG       23.172  (23.172/38 i.e. 23.172 0)
64  MGS       23.163  (22.163/38 i.e. 21.163 1)
65  TRP       23.162  (22.162/38 i.e. 21.162 1)
66  WOL       23.136  (23.136/38 i.e. 23.136 0)
67  GLD       23.129  (23.129/38 i.e. 23.129 0)
68  BAS       23.032  (22.032/38 i.e. 21.032 1)
69  BBT       22.923  (21.923/38 i.e. 20.923 1)
70  DII       22.881  (22.881/38 i.e. 22.881 0)
71  KEE       22.865  (22.865/38 i.e. 22.865 0)
72  RDT       22.630  (22.630/38 i.e. 22.630 0)
73  JJK       22.504  (22.504/38 i.e. 22.504 0)
74  AND       22.474  (22.474/38 i.e. 22.474 0)
74  ESR       22.474  (22.474/38 i.e. 22.474 0)
76  BWE       22.466  (21.466/38 i.e. 20.466 1)
77  FEI       22.330  (21.330/38 i.e. 20.330 1)
78  MAS       22.184  (22.184/38 i.e. 22.184 0)
79  WLS       22.162  (22.162/38 i.e. 22.162 0)
80  MOR       22.157  (21.157/38 i.e. 20.157 1)
81  DCI       22.140  (22.140/38 i.e. 22.140 0)
82  MJS       22.129  (22.129/38 i.e. 22.129 0)
83  KFD       21.942  (20.942/38 i.e. 19.942 1)
84  KPK       21.897  (21.897/38 i.e. 21.897 0)
85  SFX       21.873  (21.873/38 i.e. 21.873 0)
86  BRN       21.685  (21.685/38 i.e. 21.685 0)
87  JTR       21.486  (21.486/38 i.e. 21.486 0)
88  DWI       21.474  (21.474/38 i.e. 21.474 0)
89  PIR       21.439  (20.439/38 i.e. 19.439 1)
90  CGV       21.309  (21.309/38 i.e. 21.309 0)
91  FPI       21.274  (20.274/38 i.e. 19.274 1)
92  GBR       21.200  (21.200/38 i.e. 21.200 0)
93  SAG       21.162  (21.162/38 i.e. 21.162 0)
94  DUN       21.042  (21.042/38 i.e. 21.042 0)
95  MDS       21.036  (21.036/38 i.e. 21.036 0)
96  DOK       20.771  (20.771/38 i.e. 20.771 0)
Scoring:
Round 1: 1 point.
Round 2: 2 points.
Top 25 of rankings only.
Games with both teams beyond 25 or teams of same rank
 given a calculated partial credit.
'Average' is Massey comparison Mean ranking.
'Median' is Massey comparison Median ranking.
'Allsame' is ranking with all teams ranked equally.

Explanation of the "top 25" bowl scoring

(This scoring is only reasonable for comparing with a ranking that only ranks the top 25, i.e., AP, USA, CFP, and RDT.) If at least one team in the game is ranked in the ranking's top 25, it is clear which team the ranking chooses to win. For all the games which a ranking's top 25 does not call in such manner, a "most likely number of correct choices" is used, based upon how many full rankings ranked the winner higher for each of those games.

 


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